Betting Tips
Whilst the subjective nature of a judge’s decision can vary wildly, there are some Oscars betting tips that may help you reach a reasoned decision.
1 The first method is to follow the awards given out at other organizations’ ceremonies and use them as a method to refine your personal Oscars betting odds. These ceremonies are often great indicators for predicting which figures will sweep the prizes at the Academy Awards, as outstanding performances and work will tend to be rewarded on multiple occasions.
Example: performer winning the Best Actor trophy at the Critic’s Choice Awards will win an Oscar in the same category nine times out of ten. This doesn’t require much effort to research and keep tabs on and can result in huge profits, making it a great method for a quick win.
2 The second tip is to try and stay aware of trends and causes that nominees are getting involved with and how they are perceived by the general public and media alike. Some might say that the Oscars is as much about a celebrity’s public profile as it is about their body of work. Whilst being thrust into the limelight in a positive fashion can do much to raise a star’s odds of winning an award, a scandal can have entirely the opposite effect.
3 It’s also a good idea to keep up to date with news sites and blogs that speculate about the outcome of the Oscars. If insider information leaks from the Academy, then the potential winners and losers may be revealed ahead of schedule. Even smaller pieces of information can prove invaluable, as judges, directors and other people with a unique perspective of the events may be able to provide some crucial insights that can be put to use when calculating the odds.
Naturally, though, all individual sources will be somewhat biased when it comes to discussing projects or professionals that they are close to, so be prepared to take some statements with a grain of salt.
4 Owing to the large number of categories and the relative certainty with which some winners can be predicted, many gamblers can profit by placing an accumulator bet. What this will do is chain together multiple wagers, exponentially raising the amount of winnings as each one is proven right.
However, just one loss will lead to the failure of the bet, wiping out any potential profits. For this reason, it is best to use an accumulator to bet on multiple awards that are easier to predict (Best Actor, Best Actress, Best Director) and raise profits. This can be especially straightforward if the available information leads you to think the results are a sure thing and can provide a good return when the odds for individual bets are not particularly lucrative.
About the Academy Awards
Every year, many of the most famous and accomplished figures in the film industry converge in Los Angeles in order to attend the Academy Awards ceremony, more commonly known as the Oscars. Prizes are awarded for the best films, the best actors and directors and many other categories, as the hard work put into movie production over the past few years is publicly recognized and awarded.
Whilst the stars themselves are vying to take home one of the trademark golden statuettes given out at the event, many more people around the world will be watching on television to see who wins. But unbeknownst to many of those people, it is actually possible to place bets on the outcome of the Oscars and take home a sizeable pot of winnings.
The ‘Oscars’ themselves are the trophies depicting an abstract male figure. Whilst the origin and name is disputed, the statues made their appearance at the first Academy Awards ceremony back in 1929. Since then, they have been given out at every ceremony, though during the war they were made out of plaster disguised as gold due to the shortage of many metals. The results of the awards are kept as a closely guarded secret until their announcement, printed on cards in a number of sealed envelopes that will be opened by the announcers for each category.
Previous Winners
In previous years, there have been some pretty decent odds offered on some of the outcomes of the ceremony. In 2019 for instance, Roma won Best Picture with odds offered at 4/1, whilst Alfonso Cuaron won Best Director at almost 3/1.
Savvy gamblers would have remembered the amount of praise heaped on both during the run-up to the ceremony and would have adjusted their picks accordingly. Most winners will typically end up in the 3/1 to 5/1 range, especially as press speculation begins to impact on the available odds and the final decision seems to become more and more of a sure thing. That said, runners up seldom lag that far behind, making it tough to pick a winner based on odds alone.
Also, there have been some mistakes made in the past when it comes to the Academy Awards that could give some gamblers pause for thought. The most recent of these came in 2017 when Warren Beatty and Faye Dunaway were given the wrong envelope for their category, resulting in the movie La La Land being awarded the Best Picture Oscar.
The mistake was soon rectified, however, and the award was given to the film Moonlight instead, as was originally intended. Nonetheless, it must have been an uncomfortable few minutes for people who had correctly put their money on Moonlight being the winner. Also, in 1940 the Los Angeles Times accidentally revealed the winners of the awards early, leading to the secrecy that so famously surrounds the awards nowadays. In the age of computer hacking and leaks, it wouldn’t be surprising to see a similar situation occurs in the next few decades.
Conclusion
Although it may seem outlandish, placing a wager on the results of the Oscars can be a safe way to turn a profit. With the amount of relevant information easily available online, it can be simpler than ever to narrow down the potential winners and at the very least, predict the nominees.
From smartphonegambler’s News
Updated: 2024
